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BEA

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9 hours ago

Recession Watch Metrics

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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

Early in February, I expressed my "increasing concern" about the negative economic impact of "executive / fiscal policy errors", however, I concluded that post by noting that I was not currently on r…

38 hours ago

FOMC Preview: No Change to Fed Funds Rate

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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

Most analysts expect no change to FOMC policy at the meeting this week, keeping the target range at 4 1/4 to 4 1/2 percent.    Market participants currently expect the FOMC to also be on hold at the …

3 days ago

Light Vehicles Sales "Beat the tariff" at 17.3 million SAAR in April

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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

Wards Auto released their estimate of light vehicle sales for April: Tariff-Induced Buying Pumps U.S. Light-Vehicle Sales for Second Month in April (pay site).
Tariff-related buying lifted sales over …

5 days ago

Personal Income increased 0.5% in March; Spending increased 0.7%

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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

The BEA released the Personal Income and Outlays report for March:
Personal income increased $116.8 billion (0.5 percent at a monthly rate) in March, according to estimates released today by the U.S…

BEA: Real GDP decreased at 0.3% Annualized Rate in Q1

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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

From the BEA: Gross Domestic Product, 1st Quarter 2025 (Advance Estimate)
Real gross domestic product (GDP) decreased at an annual rate of 0.3 percent in the first quarter of 2025 (January, February…

9 days ago

Schedule for Week of April 27, 2025

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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

The key report scheduled for this week is the April employment report.

Other key reports include the advance estimate of Q1 GDP, March Personal Income and Outlays, February Case-Shiller house prices…

12 days ago

April Vehicle Forecast: Sales at 17.4 million SAAR, Up 8.6% YoY

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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

From WardsAuto: Pre-Tariff U.S. Light-Vehicle Sales Surge Continues in April, Sapping Dealer Inventory (pay content).  Brief excerpt:
If the forecast holds firm, inventory will fall below the year-ago…

28 days ago

Recession Watch Metrics

found

a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

Early in February, I expressed my "increasing concern" about the negative economic impact of "executive / fiscal policy errors", however, I concluded that post by noting that I was not currently on r…

33 days ago

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