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Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes Increased in 45 States in February (3-Month Basis)

From the Philly Fed:
The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia has released the coincident indexes for the 50 states for February 2025. Over the past three months, the indexes increased in 45 state…

Trump Drops Tariffs to 10%

Just minutes after Goldman Sachs put out a note forecasting a recession, Mr. Trump lowered all tariffs to 10% (except China).

First, from Goldman Sachs economists:
Moving to a Recession Baseline We…

26 days ago

29 days ago

Recession Watch

I am going on "recession watch" for only the 4th time in the 20+ years that I've been writing this blog. In December 2022 I went on "recession watch", but I noted "My sense is growth will stay slugg…

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