Q2 GDP Tracking
Since our last weekly publication, our 2Q GDP tracking is unchanged at 2.7% q/q saar and 1Q GDP is down one-tenth to -0.1% q/q saar. [June 13th estimate]From Goldman:
emphasis added
The de…
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4 days ago
Since our last weekly publication, our 2Q GDP tracking is unchanged at 2.7% q/q saar and 1Q GDP is down one-tenth to -0.1% q/q saar. [June 13th estimate]From Goldman:
emphasis added
The de…
11 days ago
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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk
Since our last weekly publication, our 2Q GDP tracking is up to 2.7% q/q saar from 1.8% q/q saar and 1Q GDP is up two-tenths to 0.0% q/q saar. [June 6th estimate]From Goldman…
emphasis added
18 days ago
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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk
Since our last weekly publication, our 2Q GDP tracking is down two-tenths to +1.8% q/q saar. [May 30th estimate]From Goldman:
emphasis added
The goods trade deficit narrowed by more than e…
25 days ago
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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk
Since our last weekly publication, our 2Q and 1Q GDP tracking are down two-tenths each to +2.0% q/q saar and -0.5% q/q saar, respectively. [May 23rd estimate]From Goldman:
emphasis added
W…
32 days ago
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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk
We initiated our 2Q GDP tracking after the April retail sales print. It moved up two-tenth to 2.2% q/q saar from our official forecast of 2.0% q/q saar. Meanwhile, our 1Q GDP tracking mo…
39 days ago
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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk
The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) …
45 days ago
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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk
GDP contracted by 0.3% q.q saar in 1Q, despite solid final demand (+2.3%). In our assessment, the surge in imports (which took 5.0pp off 1Q growth) due to front-r…
53 days ago
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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk
60 days ago
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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk
1Q GDP tracking increased three tenths to 0.7% q/q saar after the upward revisions to Jan and Feb core control retail sales. [Apr 17th estimate]From Goldman:
emphasis added
We left our Q1 G…
67 days ago
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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk
Since our last publication, our 1Q GDP tracking has remained unchanged at 0.4% q/q saar. [Apr 11th estimate]From Goldman:
emphasis added
We left our Q1 GDP tracking estimate unchanged at +…