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18 hours ago
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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk
GDP contracted by 0.3% q.q saar in 1Q, despite solid final demand (+2.3%). In our assessment, the surge in imports (which took 5.0pp off 1Q growth) due to front-r…
7 days ago
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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk
15 days ago
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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk
1Q GDP tracking increased three tenths to 0.7% q/q saar after the upward revisions to Jan and Feb core control retail sales. [Apr 17th estimate]
<span style="font-size: x-small;">emphasis a…
21 days ago
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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk
Since our last publication, our 1Q GDP tracking has remained unchanged at 0.4% q/q saar. [Apr 11th estimate]From Goldman:
<span style="font-size: x-small;">emphasis added</span>
We left ou…
28 days ago
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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk
Since our last publication, our 1Q GDP tracking is up from 0.1% q/q saar to 0.4% q/q saar. [Apr 4th estimate]From Goldman:
<span style="font-size: x-small;">emphasis added</span>
We left o…
35 days ago
1Q GDP tracking is down from our recently updated official forecast of 1.5% q/q saar to 1.0% q/q saar. [Mar 28th estimate]From Goldm…
<span style="font-size: x-small;">emphasis added</span>
42 days ago
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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk
49 days ago
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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk
Our 1Q GDP tracking remains unchanged at 1.9% q/q saar and our 4Q GDP tracking is down two tenths to 2.3% q/q saar since our last weekly publication. [Mar 14th]
<span style="font-size: x-s…
56 days ago
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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk
60 days ago
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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk