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19 days ago

Lawler: Update on Mortgage/MBS Rates and Spreads

From housing economist Tom Lawler: Update on Mortgage/MBS Rates and Spreads

On April 4th, the day after Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariff announcement, the so-called 30-year “current-coupon” MBS yield…

52 days ago

Lawler: Some Observations on the Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet Wind-Down and Reinvestment “Strategy” (Still in Quantitative Easing Mode, Just Less So)

From housing economist Tom Lawler:

From the beginning of 2020 to early June of 2022 the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet more than doubled to an almost inconceivable $8.9 trillion, with almost all of…

60 days ago

Lawler: Federal Reserve Earnings Still Running Negative; No Remittances to Treasury for a While

From housing economist Tom Lawler: Federal Reserve Earnings Still Running Negative; No Remittances to Treasury for a While

The sharp runup in short-term interest rates over the last few years that f…

65 days ago

Lawler: Treasury Secretary Wrongly Says Fed Has Been “Big Seller” of Treasuries

From housing economist Tom Lawler: Treasury Secretary Wrongly Says Fed Has Been “Big Seller” of Treasuries

In an interview last week, Treasury Secretary Bessent said that any plans by the Treasury t…

90 days ago

3 months ago

4 months ago

Lawler: Interest Rates Since the Federal Reserve Began Cutting Rates

From housing economist Tom Lawler:

Since September 17th the Federal Reserve has lowered its federal funds rate range by 100 basis points. Below is a table showing Treasury and MBS rates since Septe…

5 months ago

Lawler: Mortgage Rates Have Surged Since the Federal Reserve Cut Interest Rates Last Month

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Lawler: Mortgage Rates Have Surged Since the Federal Reserve Cut Interest Rates Last Month

Excerpt:
From housing economist Tom Lawler:

Folks wh…

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