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23 days ago

Trump Drops Tariffs to 10%

Just minutes after Goldman Sachs put out a note forecasting a recession, Mr. Trump lowered all tariffs to 10% (except China).

First, from Goldman Sachs economists:
Moving to a Recession Baseline We…

24 days ago

By Request: Public and Private Sector Payroll Jobs During Presidential Terms

Note: I've received a number of requests to post this again after the start of President Trump's 2nd term.  So here is another update of tracking employment during Presidential terms.  We frequently …

31 days ago

Economic Tailwinds and Headwinds

After the election in November 2016, I pointed out that the economy was solid, that there were significant economic tailwinds and that it was unlikely that Mr. Trump would do everything he said durin…

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