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38 days ago

Personal Income increased 0.8% in February; Spending increased 0.4%

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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

The BEA released the Personal Income and Outlays report for February:
Personal income increased $194.7 billion (0.8 percent at a monthly rate) in February, according to estimates released today by t…

39 days ago

Q4 GDP Growth Revised up to 2.4% Annual Rate

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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

From the BEA: Gross Domestic Product, 4th Quarter and Year 2024 (Third Estimate), GDP by Industry, and Corporate Profits
Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 2.4 percent in…

44 days ago

Schedule for Week of March 23, 2025

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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

The key reports scheduled for this week include February New Home sales, the 3rd estimate of Q4 GDP, February Personal Income & Outlays, and January Case-Shiller house prices.

For manufacturing, the…

47 days ago

FOMC Projections: GDP Revised Down, Inflation Revised Up

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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

Statement here.

Fed Chair Powell press conference video here or on YouTube here, starting at 2:30 PM ET.

Here are the projections.  
In December, the FOMC participants’ midpoint of the target lev…

50 days ago

FOMC Preview: No Change to Fed Funds Rate

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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

Most analysts expect no change to FOMC policy at the meeting this week, keeping the target range at 4 1/4 to 4 1/2 percent.    Market participants currently expect the FOMC to be on hold at the March…

54 days ago

YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter

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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

Here are a few measures of inflation:

The first graph is the one Fed Chair Powell had mentioned two years ago when services less rent of shelter was up around 8% year-over-year.  This declined, but …

59 days ago

Fed Chair Powell: Economic Outlook "Uncertainty"

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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

From Fed Chair Powell: Economic Outlook
Despite elevated levels of uncertainty, the U.S. economy continues to be in a good place. The labor market is solid, and inflation has moved closer to our 2 pe…

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