US Bureau

NOTE: An update to the gold adjusted GDPNow will be released on March 26th. Based on the previous adjustment, it appears GDPNow (adjusted) is slightly positive for Q1. (For more on the gold adjustme…

57 days ago

Q1 GDP Tracking: Mid-to-High 1% Range

found 2025 › Mar › 07 (Fri) @ 18:51 UTC

a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

Special Note: There was a surge in gold imports in January. There is a time lag for when the imported gold will show up in inventories. GDPNow will correct for this once the gold is included as an …

63 days ago

Q1 GDP Tracking: Wide Range, GDPNow Goes Negative

found 2025 › Feb › 28 (Fri) @ 21:43 UTC

a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

From BofA:

The second print of 4Q GDP came in at 2.3% q/q saar, unchanged from the advance print and a tenth higher than our tracking estimate. Meanwhile, our 1Q GDP tracking is unchanged at 2.3% q/q…

77 days ago

Q1 GDP Tracking: Low 2% Range

found 2025 › Feb › 15 (Sat) @ 09:30 UTC

a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

From BofA:

Next week, we will initiate our 1Q GDP tracker ... [Feb 14th]
<span style="font-size: x-small;">emphasis added</span>

From Goldman:

Following this morning’s retail sales and industrial produ…

4 months ago

Q4 GDP Tracking: 2.4% to 3.1%

found 2024 › Dec › 20 (Fri) @ 18:41 UTC

a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

From Goldman:

Following this morning’s data, we left our Q4 GDP tracking estimate unchanged at 2.4% (quarter-over-quarter annualized) and our Q4 domestic final sales forecast unchanged at +2.3% [Dec …

Q4 GDP Tracking: 2.1% to 3.3% Range

found 2024 › Dec › 09 (Mon) @ 08:38 UTC

a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

From BofA:

Since our last weekly publication, our 3Q GDP tracking estimate has moved up a tenth to 2.9% q/q saar from the second official print of 2.8% q/q saar. Additionally, we initiated our 4Q US …

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