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YoY

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7 hours ago

29 hours ago

2 days ago

FOMC Preview: No Change to Fed Funds Rate

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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

Most analysts expect no change to FOMC policy at the meeting this week, keeping the target range at 4 1/4 to 4 1/2 percent.    Market participants currently expect the FOMC to also be on hold at the …

4 days ago

6 days ago

Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.2% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.2% in May

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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

The Cleveland Fed released the median CPI and the trimmed-mean CPI.

According to the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, the median Consumer Price Index rose 0.2% in May. The 16% trimmed-mean Consume…

YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter

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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

Here are a few measures of inflation:

The first graph is the one Fed Chair Powell had mentioned two years ago when services less rent of shelter was up around 8% year-over-year.  This declined and i…

7 days ago

Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-June 2025

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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-June 2025

A brief excerpt:
Yesterday, in Part 1: Current State of the Housing Marke…

8 days ago

Recession Watch Metrics

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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

Early in February, I expressed my "increasing concern" about the negative economic impact of "executive / fiscal policy errors", however, I concluded that post by noting that I was not currently on r…

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