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25 days ago

MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey

From the MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Mortgage applications increased 20.0 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s …

By Request: Public and Private Sector Payroll Jobs During Presidential Terms

Note: I've received a number of requests to post this again after the start of President Trump's 2nd term.  So here is another update of tracking employment during Presidential terms.  We frequently …

26 days ago

Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate Decreased 7% in March

From Dodge Data Analytics: Dodge Momentum Index Declines 7% in March
The Dodge Momentum Index (DMI), issued by Dodge Construction Network, receded 6.9% in March to 205.6 (2000=100) from the revised …

Wholesale Used Car Prices Decreased in March; Down 0.2% Year-over-year

From Manheim Consulting today: Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index Shows Seasonal Decline in March Despite Strong Market Demand
Wholesale used-vehicle prices (on a mix, mileage, and seasonally adjusted b…

Recession Watch Metrics

Early in February, I expressed my "increasing concern" about the negative economic impact of "executive / fiscal policy errors", however, I concluded that post by noting that I was not currently on r…

27 days ago

28 days ago

AAR: Rail Carloads and Intermodal Up in March

From the Association of American Railroads (AAR) AAR Data Center. Graph and excerpts reprinted with permission.
Recent changes in U.S. trade policy represent a notable shift from previous approach…

Recession Watch

I am going on "recession watch" for only the 4th time in the 20+ years that I've been writing this blog. In December 2022 I went on "recession watch", but I noted "My sense is growth will stay slugg…

Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: "54% of outstanding mortgage loans are under 4%"

At the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter this week:

FHFA Percent Mortgage Rate First Lien<span style="font-size: 85%;">Click on graph for larger image.</span>

FHFA’s National Mortgage Database: Outstanding Mortgage Rates, LTV a…

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