April 4th COVID Update: COVID Deaths Continue Declining

found 2025 › Apr › 05 (Sat) @ 00:50 UTC

a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios.

<div>For deaths, I'm currently using 4 weeks ago for "now", since the most recent three weeks will be revised signi…

March Employment Report: 228 thousand Jobs, 4.2% Unemployment Rate

found 2025 › Apr › 04 (Fri) @ 13:15 UTC

a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

From the BLS: Employment Situation

Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 228,000 in March, and the unemployment rate changed little at 4.2 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported to…

Hotels: Occupancy Rate Increased 4.4% Year-over-year (Easter Timing boosted YoY Occupancy)

found 2025 › Apr › 03 (Thu) @ 20:45 UTC

a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

<div>From STR: U.S. hotel results for week ending 29 March</div>

On the positive side of the Easter calendar shift, the U.S. hotel industry reported increases across the key performance metrics, acco…

Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 219,000

found 2025 › Apr › 03 (Thu) @ 14:15 UTC

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The DOL reported:

In the week ending March 29, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 219,000, a decrease of 6,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's…

Trade Deficit decreased to $122.7 Billion in February

found 2025 › Apr › 03 (Thu) @ 14:15 UTC

a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

The Census Bureau and the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported:

The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis announced today that the goods and services deficit was $122.7 billion…

Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes Increased in 47 States in January (3-Month Basis)

found 2025 › Apr › 02 (Wed) @ 22:20 UTC

a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

From the Philly Fed:

The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia has released the coincident indexes for the 50 states for January 2025. Over the past three months, the indexes increased in 47 states…

Heavy Truck Sales Decreased 12% YoY in March: Lowest since May 2020

found 2025 › Apr › 02 (Wed) @ 18:35 UTC

a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

This graph shows heavy truck sales since 1967 using data from the BEA. The dashed line is the March 2025 seasonally adjusted annual sales rate (SAAR) of 403 thousand.

Heavy truck sales really collap…

MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey

found 2025 › Apr › 02 (Wed) @ 12:20 UTC

a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

From the MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey

Mortgage applications decreased 1.6 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s …

Vehicles Sales "Surge" to 17.8 million SAAR in March

found 2025 › Apr › 02 (Wed) @ 00:20 UTC

a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

Wards Auto released their estimate of light vehicle sales for March: March U.S. Light-Vehicle Sales Surge in Preemptive Move to Potential Tariff-Based Price Increases (pay site).

March sales were proo…

Economic Tailwinds and Headwinds

found 2025 › Apr › 01 (Tue) @ 18:40 UTC

a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

After the election in November 2016, I pointed out that the economy was solid, that there were significant economic tailwinds and that it was unlikely that Mr. Trump would do everything he said durin…