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72 days ago

Schedule for Week of February 23, 2025

The key reports this week are January New Home sales, the second estimate of Q4 GDP, Personal Income and Outlays for January, and Case-Shiller house prices.

For manufacturing, the February Dallas, K…

82 days ago

YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter

Here are a few measures of inflation:

The first graph is the one Fed Chair Powell had mentioned when services less rent of shelter was up around 8% year-over-year.  This declined, but is still eleva…

3 months ago

Personal Income increased 0.4% in December; Spending increased 0.7%

The BEA released the Personal Income and Outlays report for December:
Personal income increased $92.0 billion (0.4 percent at a monthly rate) in December, according to estimates released today by th…

BEA: Real GDP increased at 2.3% Annualized Rate in Q4

From the BEA: Gross Domestic Product, 4th Quarter and Year 2024 (Advance Estimate)
Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 2.3 percent in the fourth quarter of 2024 (October…

FOMC Preview: No Change to Policy

Most analysts expect no change to FOMC policy at the meeting this week, keeping the target range at 4 1/4 to 4 1/2 percent.    Market participants currently expect the FOMC to be on hold at the Janua…

Schedule for Week of January 26, 2025

The key reports scheduled for this week are the advance estimate of Q4 GDP, December New Home sales, December Personal Income and Outlays and November Case-Shiller house prices.

The FOMC meets this …

YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter

Here are a few measures of inflation:

The first graph is the one Fed Chair Powell had mentioned when services less rent of shelter was up around 8% year-over-year.  This declined, but is still eleva…

4 months ago

Ten Economic Questions for 2025

Here is a review of the Ten Economic Questions for 2024.

Below are my ten questions for 2025 (I've been doing this online every year for 20 years!).  These are just questions; I'll follow up with so…

Personal Income increased 0.3% in November; Spending increased 0.4%

The BEA released the Personal Income and Outlays report for November:
Personal income increased $71.1 billion (0.3 percent at a monthly rate) in November, according to estimates released today by th…

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