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4 months ago

Review: Ten Economic Questions for 2024

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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

At the end of each year, I post Ten Economic Questions for the following year (2024). I followed up with a brief post on each question. Here is review (we don't have all data yet, but enough).  I've…

Q3 GDP Growth Revised up to 3.1% Annual Rate

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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

From the BEA: Gross Domestic Product (Third Estimate), Corporate Profits (Revised Estimate), and GDP by Industry, Third Quarter 2024
Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 3.…

FOMC Projections

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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

Statement here.

Fed Chair Powell press conference video here or on YouTube here, starting at 2:30 PM ET.

Here are the projections.  Since the last projections were released, economic growth has bee…

FOMC Preview: Fed to Cut Rates 25bp

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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

Most analysts expect the FOMC will cut the federal funds rate at the meeting this week by 25bp lowering the target range to 4 1/4 to 4 1/2 percent.   However, most market participants now expect the …

Schedule for Week of December 15, 2024

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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

The key economic reports this week are Retail Sales, Housing Starts, Existing Home Sales, the 3rd estimate of Q3 GDP, and November Personal income and outlays.

For manufacturing, November Industrial…

YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter

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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

Here are a few measures of inflation:

The first graph is the one Fed Chair Powell had mentioned when services less rent of shelter was up around 8% year-over-year.  This declined, but is still eleva…

5 months ago

BEA: Real GDP increased at 2.8% Annualized Rate in Q3

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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

From the BEA: Gross Domestic Product, Third Quarter 2024 (Advance Estimate)
Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 2.8 percent in the third quarter of 2024, according to th…

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